- OffTheTicker
- Posts
- Week of July 21st Earnings Forecast
Week of July 21st Earnings Forecast
Big names like Tesla, GE Vernova, and Google are set to report
Welcome!
A big shoutout to all of our new subscribers — happy you’re joining us @OfftheTicker.
For some companies that have earnings this week, we wanted to choose a couple and want to highlight some notable achievements or developments from the past few months that stand out. Also an analysis of their financial outlook for the upcoming year (2025) based on available data. Finally, we will share our take on whether the stock might be a good buy and were we might see it going this year.
We also wanted to bring to everyone’s attention our referral program at the bottom of the page. For just two referrals to your friends and family you will receive an email that grants you access to our LIVE STOCK TRACKER, where we will be logging every stock that we will be talking about on this newsletter, which will allow you to stay up to date and never miss a beat even during busy work weeks.
Weekly Earnings Spotlight: July 21-25th, 2025
Monday July 21st: Verizon (VZ)
Tuesday July 22nd: Coca Cola (KO), GM (GM)
Wednesday July 23rd : GE Vernova (GEV), Tesla (TSLA), Alphabet (GOOGL)
Thursday July 24th: Intel (INTC)
Friday July 25th: Centene (CNC)
Three Buys Ahead of Wednesdays Earnings
The major headline this week is around Wednesday July 23rd, with GE Vernova set to report earnings before opening, and Tesla and Google Set to report earnings after the markets close at 4. All three of these stocks are on our must buys list ahead of earnings all for different reasons.
GE Vernova
GE Vernova is a leading energy technology company spun off from General Electric in April 2024 that encompasses gas and steam power, nuclear, hydro, wind The company is a key infrastructure enabler, providing turbines, wind farms, grid solutions, and software that support the growing demand for clean and reliable power—especially driven by AI data centers and electrification efforts.
Ahead of its quarterly earnings release on Wednesday, July 23, 2025, analysts expect a standout performance: consensus estimates project EPS of about $1.64, a roughly 130–133% year-over-year increase, and revenues near $8.8 billion, up around 7%. Order intake is also forecast to climb to $11.8 billion, exceeding the $11.1 billion consensus and driven by strong demands in gas turbine and electrification markets across the U.S., Saudi Arabia, and India. About 75% of analysts rate GE Vernova a Buy/Outperform, reflecting strong confidence in its earnings power, backlog strength, and strategic role in the energy transition.
Our Thesis: With the expansion of AI throughout the country and throughout the world comes a massive need for data centers. These data centers are designed to hold and power massive computer systems and software that are needed to power AI. We have already seen companies like Meta, Google, Palantir and others begin to build data centers across the globe. It is estimated that the US alone has spent a combined capital expenditure on data centers over 188 billion dollars in just the last couple of years. That is where GE Vernova comes in. Back in March, the Chief Executive of the company said in an interview that “the companies backlog for orders for natural gas turbines, power transformers, and switchgear stretches into 2028. It is always a greats sign when a company can almost guarantee revenue and demand a couple years in advance, but it is also important to focus on the bottleneck of the company, which is the gird modernization and the almost 50% increase in energy consumption expected over the next 5 years. With the current administration, and the track record of Republicans pushing for the ease of permitting the expansion of the drilling efforts of natural gas, coal, and nuclear power, it seems very likely that more bills will be passed in the coming months that will expand this grid modernization to be able to supply GE Vernova with the energy it needs to begin to fill this backlog of orders. We have been investing in GE Vernova for a while now and will be expanding our position before Wednesdays earnings.
Tesla (TSLA)
Tesla, Inc. is a U.S.-based technology and energy company best known for designing, manufacturing, and selling electric vehicles (Models S, 3, X, Y, Semi, Cybertruck) as well as energy storage products (Powerwall, Megapack), solar solutions, and an extensive Supercharger network Under Elon Musk, Tesla has expanded beyond automotive into AI-driven autonomy—developing its Dojo supercomputer, the Optimus humanoid robot, and the upcoming Robotaxi/Cybercab initiative.
Upcoming earnings projections – Wednesday, July 23, 2025 Tesla will report Q2 2025 earnings after the market closes on July 23. Current consensus forecasts estimate EPS around $0.40–$0.44 (down roughly 15–23% YoY from about $0.52), and revenue in the range of $22.5–23.2 billion, reflecting a year-over-year decline near 10–12%. This soft performance is linked to lower vehicle deliveries (~384,000 units, down ~13.5% YoY) and margin pressure across its automotive and energy segments.
Analysts’ outlook ahead of the call Wall Street sentiment is mixed. Bullish signals include Cathie Wood’s ARK Invest adding ~$36 million of Tesla shares, and Wedbush analysts holding a $500 price target citing a bounce-back in China and emerging energy margins Conversely, UBS remains bearish, labeling Tesla '“overvalued” with a sell rating and $215 target. Overall, the analyst community is split: a mix of buy, hold, and sell ratings, with average targets hovering around the low‑to‑mid $300s.
Our Thesis: When looking at Tesla, short term does not look bullish in our opinion. With the launch of Robotaxis so far off to a good start, there is way too much short term risk aroudn the fact that the company will most likely see someone recording a video or newsworthy story coming out about how these Robotaxis are a danger to society due to a one off instance of one of these taxis crashing. This will most likely cause the stock to sink back below the $300 levels and cause panic. Where we do not see panic is in Elon Musk. Elon has publically come out and said everything that he could to tank this stock as much as possible for a fortune 500 company, and so far the stock has not seen as big of a drawback as expected. That brings us to why we believe that although in the short term the stock may see some bearish signs, the future is very bight for Tesla.
It is undeniable that Tesla has put themselves in the forefront of the AI race, between autonomous vehicles, the recent vote to invest in XAI, the addition to Grok within Tesla vehicles, Robotaxis, and the one that is catching out eye the most which is Optimus, Teslas humanoid robotic, which is still in testing but has been leaked in various short videos and the technology looks remarkable. We believe that the adoption of Optimus throughout the country could boost the company to 25 trillion dollars over the course of the next 10-15 years. Elon Musk has recently stated that be believes Tesla could take a 10% share of the total market for humanoid robotics, way ahead of competitors like FigureAI, Boston Dynamics, and other companies who are trying to break into the space. This would result in 100 million humanoid robotics annually at a cost of 20-30k per robot. The low side of this estimate would leave Tesla with revenue of 2 trillion dollars from humanoid robotics alone. Obviously this could take many years, but we have been investing in Tesla for some time now in hopes that this thesis would reach institutional investors, but with earnings coming up, we will be continuing to invest in hopes that forward guidance keeps pushing an expansion of Robotaxis and Optimus.
Alphabet (Google)
Alphabet Inc., the parent company of Google, operates a wide-reaching technology empire centered on its dominant online search engine, digital advertising platforms, and the world’s largest video network through YouTube. Beyond ads, it’s a major player in cloud computing (Google Cloud), AI innovation—now deploying its Gemini 2.5 Pro model—and funding moonshot projects like Waymo self-driving vehicles and Verily life sciences. Google Search and Other Services deliver the bulk of its revenue, but strategic growth efforts in AI, cloud, and YouTube continue to enhance its diversified portfolio.
Upcoming earnings projections – Wednesday, July 23, 2025 Analysts expect Google to post solid Q2 results with EPS around $2.12–$2.18, marking a healthy double-digit year-over-year gain (prior-year EPS ~ $1.89) . Revenue is forecast to land between $93.7–$93.9 billion, up roughly 11%, driven by Search/YouTube ads and a continued 26% increase in Google Cloud (~$13 billion) AInvest . This follows an already strong Q1, reinforcing expectations for steady high-teens topline growth fueled by AI momentum and enterprise demand.
Our Thesis: Google has found themself lagging behind the major players like ChatGPT and Grok for months now, and most on the street have been wondering if Google was going to begin to expand their reach into AI. Recently, with the launch of Gemini, Google may have found just that. As of June 2025, traffic reports from both Chat GPT and Gemini side by side has shown that Googles Gemini now has a faster total user growth and faster growth in both subcategories of new users and returning users. Many big institutional investors have been blown away by Gemini and its adoption in such a short amount of time and with the stock trading at below 20x earnings, it may be the last time to buy the stock this cheap before the adoption of Gemini takes off. It is important to note that the current S&P 500 average sits at 27x earnings which would put the stock at a 35% gain. We are buying this stock ahead of earnings in hopes that forward guidance could show major improvement among its new AI contender and the company could weather the storm that is ChatGPT.
Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered financial, investment, or tax advice. Everyone’s financial situation is different—please consult with a licensed financial advisor or tax professional before making any investment decisions. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Past performance is not indicative of future results.